{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "43",
    "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
    "party_id": "SDP",
    "party_label": "社民",
    "party_label_en": "Social Democratic Party",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 50,
    "municipality_count": 50,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -31.758591,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 92.307692
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434442",
      "municipality_name": "甲佐町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kosa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 65.0,
      "target_votes": 125.0,
      "votes_delta": 60.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 92.307692,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.393355,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.674941,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.281586
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434248",
      "municipality_name": "小国町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oguni-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 59.0,
      "target_votes": 113.0,
      "votes_delta": 54.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 91.525424,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.72112,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.338257,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.617137
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434280",
      "municipality_name": "高森町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takamori-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 44.0,
      "target_votes": 82.0,
      "votes_delta": 38.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 86.363636,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.450709,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.661474,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.210765
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434477",
      "municipality_name": "山都町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamato-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 151.0,
      "target_votes": 265.0,
      "votes_delta": 114.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 75.496689,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.168294,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.841693,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.673399
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434434",
      "municipality_name": "益城町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mashiki-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 341.907,
      "target_votes": 595.0,
      "votes_delta": 253.093,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 74.02393,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.105728,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.823416,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.717688
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432148",
      "municipality_name": "阿蘇市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aso-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 208.787,
      "target_votes": 360.0,
      "votes_delta": 151.213,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 72.424528,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.723945,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.01104,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.287095
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434426",
      "municipality_name": "嘉島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashima-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 65.857,
      "target_votes": 110.0,
      "votes_delta": 44.143,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 67.028562,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.415062,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.435245,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.020183
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434418",
      "municipality_name": "御船町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mifune-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 161.333,
      "target_votes": 249.0,
      "votes_delta": 87.667,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 54.339162,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.930051,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.066125,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.136074
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432083",
      "municipality_name": "山鹿市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamaga-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 449.925,
      "target_votes": 676.0,
      "votes_delta": 226.075,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 50.247263,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.961056,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.996055,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.034999
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434230",
      "municipality_name": "南小国町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamioguni-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 45.0,
      "target_votes": 66.0,
      "votes_delta": 21.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 46.666667,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.386002,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.468208,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.082206
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434329",
      "municipality_name": "西原村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishihara-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 49.0,
      "target_votes": 70.0,
      "votes_delta": 21.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 42.857143,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.392837,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.039033,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.646196
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434256",
      "municipality_name": "産山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ubuyama-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 13.0,
      "target_votes": 18.0,
      "votes_delta": 5.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 38.461538,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.761518,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.387268,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.62575
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432105",
      "municipality_name": "菊池市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kikuchi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 467.812,
      "target_votes": 605.0,
      "votes_delta": 137.188,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 29.325456,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.160196,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.849472,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.689276
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434035",
      "municipality_name": "大津町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ozu-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 325.0,
      "target_votes": 418.0,
      "votes_delta": 93.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 28.615385,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.937869,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.576271,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.638402
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432164",
      "municipality_name": "合志市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Koshi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 661.0,
      "target_votes": 841.0,
      "votes_delta": 180.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 27.231467,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.185991,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.909028,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.723037
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434043",
      "municipality_name": "菊陽町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kikuyo-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 389.0,
      "target_votes": 477.0,
      "votes_delta": 88.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 22.622108,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.892944,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.437529,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.544585
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435112",
      "municipality_name": "五木村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itsuki-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 5.0,
      "target_votes": 6.0,
      "votes_delta": 1.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 20.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.84317,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.02916,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.18599
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435317",
      "municipality_name": "苓北町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Reihoku-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 56.0,
      "target_votes": 67.0,
      "votes_delta": 11.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 19.642857,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.77496,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.059004,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.284044
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434337",
      "municipality_name": "南阿蘇村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamiaso-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 109.0,
      "target_votes": 122.0,
      "votes_delta": 13.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 11.926606,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.054278,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.272304,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.218026
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433691",
      "municipality_name": "和水町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagomi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 77.0,
      "target_votes": 84.0,
      "votes_delta": 7.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 9.090909,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.69045,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.797945,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.107495
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433489",
      "municipality_name": "美里町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Misato-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 41.0,
      "target_votes": 44.0,
      "votes_delta": 3.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.317073,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.994422,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.084278,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.089856
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435120",
      "municipality_name": "山江村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamae-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 16.0,
      "target_votes": 17.0,
      "votes_delta": 1.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 6.25,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.936768,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.973654,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.036886
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435066",
      "municipality_name": "湯前町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yunomae-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 38.75,
      "target_votes": 41.0,
      "votes_delta": 2.25,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 5.806452,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.142067,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.23677,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.094703
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434825",
      "municipality_name": "芦北町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ashikita-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 144.0,
      "target_votes": 149.0,
      "votes_delta": 5.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.472222,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.862149,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.93859,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.076441
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432059",
      "municipality_name": "水俣市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 372.0,
      "target_votes": 371.0,
      "votes_delta": -1.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.268817,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.566977,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.170398,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.396579
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435147",
      "municipality_name": "あさぎり町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Asagiri-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 108.478,
      "target_votes": 105.0,
      "votes_delta": -3.478,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -3.20618,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.528936,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.428183,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.100753
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433675",
      "municipality_name": "南関町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nankan-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 95.0,
      "target_votes": 88.0,
      "votes_delta": -7.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.368421,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.267844,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.138518,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.129326
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433640",
      "municipality_name": "玉東町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gyokuto-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 51.0,
      "target_votes": 47.0,
      "votes_delta": -4.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.843137,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.954023,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.831645,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.122378
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435058",
      "municipality_name": "多良木町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Taragi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 69.0,
      "target_votes": 62.0,
      "votes_delta": -7.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.144928,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.733668,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.482899,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.250769
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435104",
      "municipality_name": "相良村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sagara-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 36.0,
      "target_votes": 32.0,
      "votes_delta": -4.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.111111,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.853759,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.546641,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.307118
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434680",
      "municipality_name": "氷川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hikawa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 83.0,
      "target_votes": 73.0,
      "votes_delta": -10.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.048193,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.621094,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.418578,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.202516
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432121",
      "municipality_name": "上天草市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamiamakusa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 126.0,
      "target_votes": 109.0,
      "votes_delta": -17.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.492063,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.150895,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.96426,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.186635
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432032",
      "municipality_name": "人吉市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hitoyoshi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 406.0,
      "target_votes": 337.0,
      "votes_delta": -69.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.995074,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.817097,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.311703,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.505394
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435015",
      "municipality_name": "錦町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishiki-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 71.0,
      "target_votes": 58.0,
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}
