{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "43",
    "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
    "party_id": "JHP",
    "party_label": "保守",
    "party_label_en": "Japan Conservative Party",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 50,
    "municipality_count": 50,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -60.784314,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -13.636364
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435074",
      "municipality_name": "水上村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mizukami-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 22.0,
      "target_votes": 19.0,
      "votes_delta": -3.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.636364,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.952085,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.642178,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.309907
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435104",
      "municipality_name": "相良村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sagara-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 40.0,
      "target_votes": 32.0,
      "votes_delta": -8.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.059732,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.546641,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.513091
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434477",
      "municipality_name": "山都町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamato-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 125.0,
      "target_votes": 86.0,
      "votes_delta": -39.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.2,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.794945,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.246738,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.548207
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432059",
      "municipality_name": "水俣市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 252.0,
      "target_votes": 172.0,
      "votes_delta": -80.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.746032,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.416339,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.469834,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.946505
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433675",
      "municipality_name": "南関町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nankan-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 107.0,
      "target_votes": 69.0,
      "votes_delta": -38.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.514019,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.554309,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.676792,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.877517
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434825",
      "municipality_name": "芦北町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ashikita-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 181.0,
      "target_votes": 113.0,
      "votes_delta": -68.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -37.569061,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.340618,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.470206,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.870412
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435015",
      "municipality_name": "錦町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishiki-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 148.0,
      "target_votes": 92.0,
      "votes_delta": -56.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -37.837838,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.94586,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.855961,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.089899
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432148",
      "municipality_name": "阿蘇市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aso-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 336.0,
      "target_votes": 206.0,
      "votes_delta": -130.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.690476,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.774337,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.722984,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.051353
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435066",
      "municipality_name": "湯前町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yunomae-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 36.0,
      "target_votes": 22.0,
      "votes_delta": -14.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.888889,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.99005,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.200218,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.789832
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433691",
      "municipality_name": "和水町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagomi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 116.0,
      "target_votes": 70.0,
      "votes_delta": -46.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -39.655172,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.546652,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.498288,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.048364
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433683",
      "municipality_name": "長洲町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagasu-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 252.0,
      "target_votes": 152.0,
      "votes_delta": -100.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -39.68254,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.490305,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.15389,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.336415
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432105",
      "municipality_name": "菊池市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kikuchi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 795.0,
      "target_votes": 476.0,
      "votes_delta": -319.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.125786,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.671038,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.241899,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.429139
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434248",
      "municipality_name": "小国町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oguni-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 77.0,
      "target_votes": 46.0,
      "votes_delta": -31.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.25974,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.246208,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.358936,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.887272
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433489",
      "municipality_name": "美里町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Misato-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 74.0,
      "target_votes": 44.0,
      "votes_delta": -30.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.540541,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.79481,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.084278,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.710532
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434337",
      "municipality_name": "南阿蘇村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamiaso-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 177.0,
      "target_votes": 105.0,
      "votes_delta": -72.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.677966,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.335846,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.955671,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.380175
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432113",
      "municipality_name": "宇土市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uto-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 632.0,
      "target_votes": 374.0,
      "votes_delta": -258.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.822785,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.789423,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.31823,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.471193
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432156",
      "municipality_name": "天草市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Amakusa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 962.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.099792,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.649189,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.535831,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.113358
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434841",
      "municipality_name": "津奈木町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsunagi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 35.0,
      "target_votes": 20.0,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.928074,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.682602
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434035",
      "municipality_name": "大津町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ozu-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 736.0,
      "target_votes": 413.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.88587,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.388528,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.545455,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.843073
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434426",
      "municipality_name": "嘉島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashima-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 195.0,
      "target_votes": 109.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.102564,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.189944,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.413106,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.776838
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435120",
      "municipality_name": "山江村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamae-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 34.0,
      "target_votes": 19.0,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.990632,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.90243
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435147",
      "municipality_name": "あさぎり町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Asagiri-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 189.0,
      "target_votes": 104.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.973545,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.663848,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.414581,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.249267
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "431028",
      "municipality_name": "熊本市東区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 4379.0,
      "target_votes": 2388.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.467002,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.907157,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.811661,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.095496
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432032",
      "municipality_name": "人吉市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hitoyoshi-shi",
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      "target_votes": 254.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.726496,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.247294,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.742351,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.504943
    },
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      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432040",
      "municipality_name": "荒尾市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Arao-shi",
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.857643,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.922915,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.19645,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.726465
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432130",
      "municipality_name": "宇城市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 816.0,
      "target_votes": 436.0,
      "votes_delta": -380.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.568627,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.227082,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.767615,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.459467
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "431036",
      "municipality_name": "熊本市西区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 1819.0,
      "target_votes": 969.0,
      "votes_delta": -850.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.728972,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.281511,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.423712,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.857799
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "431001",
      "municipality_name": "熊本市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kumamoto-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 16696.0,
      "target_votes": 8890.0,
      "votes_delta": -7806.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.753713,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.884828,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.728768,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.15606
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "431010",
      "municipality_name": "熊本市中央区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Chuo-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 4821.0,
      "target_votes": 2566.0,
      "votes_delta": -2255.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.774528,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.694745,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.155785,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.53896
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434434",
      "municipality_name": "益城町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mashiki-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 630.0,
      "target_votes": 335.0,
      "votes_delta": -295.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.825397,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.880027,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.15268,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.727347
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432083",
      "municipality_name": "山鹿市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamaga-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 758.0,
      "target_votes": 403.0,
      "votes_delta": -355.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.833773,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.30384,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.78611,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.51773
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435058",
      "municipality_name": "多良木町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Taragi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 117.0,
      "target_votes": 62.0,
      "votes_delta": -55.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.008547,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.939698,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.482899,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.456799
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "431044",
      "municipality_name": "熊本市南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 2714.0,
      "target_votes": 1435.0,
      "votes_delta": -1279.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.126013,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.447576,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.498042,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.949534
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
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}
