{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "36",
    "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 24,
    "municipality_count": 24,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -24.408508,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 10.694971
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363421",
      "municipality_name": "神山町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamiyama-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 402.909,
      "target_votes": 446.0,
      "votes_delta": 43.091,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 10.694971,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.577579,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.884084,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.693495
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363871",
      "municipality_name": "美波町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 518.558,
      "target_votes": 571.0,
      "votes_delta": 52.442,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 10.113044,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.546424,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.944924,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.3985
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363014",
      "municipality_name": "勝浦町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katsuura-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 386.0,
      "target_votes": 407.0,
      "votes_delta": 21.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 5.440415,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.259224,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.711053,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.548171
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363413",
      "municipality_name": "石井町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ishii-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2105.922,
      "target_votes": 2215.0,
      "votes_delta": 109.078,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 5.179584,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.002514,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.014457,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.988057
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363685",
      "municipality_name": "那賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naka-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 760.843,
      "target_votes": 797.0,
      "votes_delta": 36.157,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 4.752229,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.813159,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.029024,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.784135
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362034",
      "municipality_name": "小松島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Komatsushima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3036.025,
      "target_votes": 3138.0,
      "votes_delta": 101.975,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.358833,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.813224,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.58557,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.227654
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363880",
      "municipality_name": "海陽町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kaiyo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 950.484,
      "target_votes": 979.0,
      "votes_delta": 28.516,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.000156,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.553965,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.863148,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.690817
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362018",
      "municipality_name": "徳島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tokushima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 20026.356,
      "target_votes": 19870.0,
      "votes_delta": -156.356,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.780751,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.247663,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.936795,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.310868
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363022",
      "municipality_name": "上勝町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamikatsu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 185.838,
      "target_votes": 180.0,
      "votes_delta": -5.838,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -3.141446,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.211284,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.556617,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.654667
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362069",
      "municipality_name": "阿波市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Awa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2648.07,
      "target_votes": 2550.0,
      "votes_delta": -98.07,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -3.703452,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.313471,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.631881,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.68159
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362042",
      "municipality_name": "阿南市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Anan-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6139.658,
      "target_votes": 5890.0,
      "votes_delta": -249.658,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -4.066318,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.222461,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.366647,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.855814
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364053",
      "municipality_name": "上板町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamiita-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 889.464,
      "target_votes": 849.0,
      "votes_delta": -40.464,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -4.549257,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.522935,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.401107,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.121828
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362050",
      "municipality_name": "吉野川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yoshinogawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3398.883,
      "target_votes": 3197.0,
      "votes_delta": -201.883,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.939687,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.876057,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.215486,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.660571
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364681",
      "municipality_name": "つるぎ町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsurugi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 705.506,
      "target_votes": 663.0,
      "votes_delta": -42.506,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.024896,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.072884,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.712881,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.360003
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364045",
      "municipality_name": "板野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itano-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 899.0,
      "target_votes": 841.0,
      "votes_delta": -58.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.451613,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.929796,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.063586,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.86621
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363219",
      "municipality_name": "佐那河内村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sanagouchi-son",
      "baseline_votes": 238.314,
      "target_votes": 222.0,
      "votes_delta": -16.314,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.84559,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.62559,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.813559,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.812031
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363839",
      "municipality_name": "牟岐町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mugi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 499.428,
      "target_votes": 464.0,
      "votes_delta": -35.428,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.093715,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.200339,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.494505,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.705834
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362026",
      "municipality_name": "鳴門市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naruto-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4211.331,
      "target_votes": 3639.0,
      "votes_delta": -572.331,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.590264,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.489684,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.607978,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.881706
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364894",
      "municipality_name": "東みよし町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashimiyoshi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1258.791,
      "target_votes": 1082.0,
      "votes_delta": -176.791,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.044508,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.796151,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.47883,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.317321
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362077",
      "municipality_name": "美馬市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2389.166,
      "target_votes": 2052.0,
      "votes_delta": -337.166,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.112289,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.053631,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.537718,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.515913
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364010",
      "municipality_name": "松茂町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Matsushige-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 938.942,
      "target_votes": 803.0,
      "votes_delta": -135.942,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.478211,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.202623,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.619833,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.58279
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364037",
      "municipality_name": "藍住町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aizumi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2672.808,
      "target_votes": 2215.0,
      "votes_delta": -457.808,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.128353,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.065611,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.849826,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.215785
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364029",
      "municipality_name": "北島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitajima-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2058.21,
      "target_votes": 1670.0,
      "votes_delta": -388.21,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.861535,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.122845,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.785991,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.336854
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362085",
      "municipality_name": "三好市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Miyoshi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2571.718,
      "target_votes": 1944.0,
      "votes_delta": -627.718,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -24.408508,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.946731,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.770186,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.176545
    }
  ]
}