{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "15",
    "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
    "party_id": "SAN",
    "party_label": "参政",
    "party_label_en": "Sanseito",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 38,
    "municipality_count": 38,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -38.745964,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -17.502161
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152242",
      "municipality_name": "佐渡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sado-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2314.0,
      "target_votes": 1909.0,
      "votes_delta": -405.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.502161,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.906509,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.493033,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.413476
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155810",
      "municipality_name": "関川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sekikawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 220.0,
      "target_votes": 178.0,
      "votes_delta": -42.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -19.090909,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.264463,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.783537,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.480926
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154822",
      "municipality_name": "津南町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsunan-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 403.0,
      "target_votes": 322.0,
      "votes_delta": -81.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.099256,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.134841,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.716729,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.418112
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153850",
      "municipality_name": "阿賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aga-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 348.0,
      "target_votes": 277.0,
      "votes_delta": -71.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.402299,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.47924,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.251185,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.228055
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152129",
      "municipality_name": "村上市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Murakami-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2758.0,
      "target_votes": 2120.0,
      "votes_delta": -638.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.132705,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.939097,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.471366,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.467731
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152277",
      "municipality_name": "胎内市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tainai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1418.0,
      "target_votes": 1089.0,
      "votes_delta": -329.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.201693,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.044627,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.746479,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.298148
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154059",
      "municipality_name": "出雲崎町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izumozaki-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 197.0,
      "target_votes": 150.0,
      "votes_delta": -47.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.857868,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.901943,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.045561,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.856382
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152161",
      "municipality_name": "糸魚川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itoigawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1779.0,
      "target_votes": 1317.0,
      "votes_delta": -462.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.969646,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.375312,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.276809,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.098503
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151068",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 2474.0,
      "target_votes": 1760.0,
      "votes_delta": -714.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.860146,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.515809,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.846889,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.66892
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153427",
      "municipality_name": "弥彦村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yahiko-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 457.0,
      "target_votes": 321.0,
      "votes_delta": -136.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -29.7593,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.97766,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.628327,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.349333
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152250",
      "municipality_name": "魚沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uonuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1859.0,
      "target_votes": 1298.0,
      "votes_delta": -561.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -30.177515,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.368098,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.63799,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.730108
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152056",
      "municipality_name": "柏崎市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashiwazaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4032.0,
      "target_votes": 2803.0,
      "votes_delta": -1229.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -30.481151,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.005708,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.615192,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.390516
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155047",
      "municipality_name": "刈羽村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kariwa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 200.0,
      "target_votes": 139.0,
      "votes_delta": -61.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -30.5,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.237232,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.014712,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.22252
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152099",
      "municipality_name": "加茂市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1316.826,
      "target_votes": 907.0,
      "votes_delta": -409.826,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.122259,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.188997,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.089815,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.099182
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152080",
      "municipality_name": "小千谷市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ojiya-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1842.0,
      "target_votes": 1267.0,
      "votes_delta": -575.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.216069,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.155475,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.532699,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.622776
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152234",
      "municipality_name": "阿賀野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Agano-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2193.0,
      "target_votes": 1500.0,
      "votes_delta": -693.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.600547,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.938201,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.492882,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.445319
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152048",
      "municipality_name": "三条市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sanjo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5765.0,
      "target_votes": 3918.0,
      "votes_delta": -1847.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.038161,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.848974,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.269836,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.579138
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152137",
      "municipality_name": "燕市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsubame-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4622.0,
      "target_votes": 3141.0,
      "votes_delta": -1481.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.042406,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.663176,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.104342,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.558834
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151084",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市西蒲区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishikan-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 2882.714,
      "target_votes": 1957.0,
      "votes_delta": -925.714,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.112586,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.311858,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.599115,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.712743
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153613",
      "municipality_name": "田上町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tagami-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 583.0,
      "target_votes": 393.0,
      "votes_delta": -190.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.590051,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.091743,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.989152,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.102591
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152269",
      "municipality_name": "南魚沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamiuonuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3232.0,
      "target_votes": 2168.0,
      "votes_delta": -1064.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.920792,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.883227,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.232078,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.651149
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152102",
      "municipality_name": "十日町市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tokamachi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2411.0,
      "target_votes": 1603.0,
      "votes_delta": -808.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -33.513065,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.329773,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.53033,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.799443
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152064",
      "municipality_name": "新発田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shibata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5069.0,
      "target_votes": 3370.0,
      "votes_delta": -1699.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -33.517459,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.20865,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.475765,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.732885
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151076",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市西区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 8313.0,
      "target_votes": 5514.0,
      "votes_delta": -2799.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -33.670155,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.160786,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.587099,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.573687
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151017",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市北区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kita-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 3817.0,
      "target_votes": 2519.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -34.005764,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.652116,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.918147,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.733969
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152188",
      "municipality_name": "五泉市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gosen-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2511.0,
      "target_votes": 1622.0,
      "votes_delta": -889.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.404221,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.933078,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.341692,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.591386
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151009",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Niigata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 42406.714,
      "target_votes": 27251.0,
      "votes_delta": -15155.714,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.738949,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.521685,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.627159,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.894526
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152110",
      "municipality_name": "見附市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mitsuke-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2363.0,
      "target_votes": 1514.0,
      "votes_delta": -849.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.928904,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.68356,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.774868,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.908692
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153079",
      "municipality_name": "聖籠町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Seiro-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 869.0,
      "target_votes": 555.0,
      "votes_delta": -314.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.133487,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.182646,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.548983,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.633663
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151041",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市江南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Konan-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 3844.0,
      "target_votes": 2452.0,
      "votes_delta": -1392.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.212279,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.243598,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.028815,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.214783
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151050",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市秋葉区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Akiha-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 3969.0,
      "target_votes": 2530.0,
      "votes_delta": -1439.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.255984,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.859989,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.211676,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.648313
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152021",
      "municipality_name": "長岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagaoka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 15027.38,
      "target_votes": 9555.0,
      "votes_delta": -5472.38,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.416062,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.475049,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.859734,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.615315
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154610",
      "municipality_name": "湯沢町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yuzawa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 494.0,
      "target_votes": 313.0,
      "votes_delta": -181.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.639676,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.328425,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.708959,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.619466
    },
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      "prefecture_code": "15",
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      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
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      "jis_code": "152170",
      "municipality_name": "妙高市",
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  ]
}
