{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "15",
    "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
    "party_id": "JHP",
    "party_label": "保守",
    "party_label_en": "Japan Conservative Party",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 38,
    "municipality_count": 38,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -49.152542,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 25.0
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155861",
      "municipality_name": "粟島浦村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Awashimaura-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 4.0,
      "target_votes": 5.0,
      "votes_delta": 1.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 25.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.809955,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.336449,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.526494
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155810",
      "municipality_name": "関川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sekikawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 64.0,
      "target_votes": 54.0,
      "votes_delta": -10.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.625,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.404207,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.057927,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.34628
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152129",
      "municipality_name": "村上市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Murakami-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 634.0,
      "target_votes": 480.0,
      "votes_delta": -154.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -24.290221,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.284767,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.69163,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.593137
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152242",
      "municipality_name": "佐渡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sado-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 682.0,
      "target_votes": 500.0,
      "votes_delta": -182.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.686217,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.624995,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.962554,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.662441
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155047",
      "municipality_name": "刈羽村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kariwa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 63.0,
      "target_votes": 45.0,
      "votes_delta": -18.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.571429,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.594728,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.947209,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.647519
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151084",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市西蒲区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishikan-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 824.0,
      "target_votes": 582.0,
      "votes_delta": -242.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -29.368932,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.233401,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.259931,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.97347
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152110",
      "municipality_name": "見附市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mitsuke-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 625.0,
      "target_votes": 425.0,
      "votes_delta": -200.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.090235,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.182509,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.907726
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154610",
      "municipality_name": "湯沢町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yuzawa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 159.0,
      "target_votes": 108.0,
      "votes_delta": -51.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.075472,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.968056,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.005008,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.963048
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151068",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 734.0,
      "target_votes": 495.0,
      "votes_delta": -239.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.561308,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.713259,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.488187,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.225072
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152080",
      "municipality_name": "小千谷市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ojiya-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 579.0,
      "target_votes": 381.0,
      "votes_delta": -198.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -34.196891,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.192193,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.265161,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.927032
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152056",
      "municipality_name": "柏崎市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashiwazaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1197.0,
      "target_votes": 781.0,
      "votes_delta": -416.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -34.753551,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.970444,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.121821,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.848623
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153850",
      "municipality_name": "阿賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aga-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 85.0,
      "target_votes": 55.0,
      "votes_delta": -30.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.294118,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.582573,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.042654,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.539919
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152137",
      "municipality_name": "燕市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsubame-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1425.0,
      "target_votes": 922.0,
      "votes_delta": -503.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.298246,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.595852,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.378925,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.216927
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152234",
      "municipality_name": "阿賀野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Agano-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 654.0,
      "target_votes": 421.0,
      "votes_delta": -233.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.626911,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.262008,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.103002,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.159006
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153613",
      "municipality_name": "田上町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tagami-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 162.0,
      "target_votes": 104.0,
      "votes_delta": -58.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.802469,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.804224,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.849547,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.954677
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152064",
      "municipality_name": "新発田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shibata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1563.0,
      "target_votes": 998.0,
      "votes_delta": -565.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.148433,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.456129,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.213891,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.242238
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152250",
      "municipality_name": "魚沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uonuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 529.0,
      "target_votes": 336.0,
      "votes_delta": -193.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.483932,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.950363,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.977168,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.973195
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152102",
      "municipality_name": "十日町市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tokamachi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 623.0,
      "target_votes": 390.0,
      "votes_delta": -233.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -37.399679,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.410804,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.588789,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.822015
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152048",
      "municipality_name": "三条市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sanjo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1716.0,
      "target_votes": 1059.0,
      "votes_delta": -657.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.286713,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.526945,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.235262,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.291683
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151041",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市江南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Konan-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 1216.0,
      "target_votes": 745.0,
      "votes_delta": -471.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.733553,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.873105,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.439424,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.433681
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151017",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市北区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kita-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 1318.0,
      "target_votes": 807.0,
      "votes_delta": -511.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.770865,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.023445,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.536699,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.486746
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152161",
      "municipality_name": "糸魚川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itoigawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 569.0,
      "target_votes": 342.0,
      "votes_delta": -227.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -39.894552,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.678782,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.629969,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.048813
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152099",
      "municipality_name": "加茂市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 394.0,
      "target_votes": 236.0,
      "votes_delta": -158.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.101523,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.048592,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.844759,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.203833
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152269",
      "municipality_name": "南魚沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamiuonuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 905.0,
      "target_votes": 542.0,
      "votes_delta": -363.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.110497,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.327451,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.058019,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.269432
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152277",
      "municipality_name": "胎内市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tainai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 458.0,
      "target_votes": 274.0,
      "votes_delta": -184.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.174672,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.244315,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.949068,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.295247
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151076",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市西区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 3056.0,
      "target_votes": 1816.0,
      "votes_delta": -1240.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.575916,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.102895,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.498762,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.604133
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151009",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Niigata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 15147.0,
      "target_votes": 8923.0,
      "votes_delta": -6224.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.090645,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.115362,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.497418,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.617944
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151050",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市秋葉区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Akiha-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 1237.0,
      "target_votes": 726.0,
      "votes_delta": -511.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.30962,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.384683,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.069437,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.315246
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153079",
      "municipality_name": "聖籠町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Seiro-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 258.0,
      "target_votes": 151.0,
      "votes_delta": -107.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.472868,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.913835,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.32594,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.587895
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152188",
      "municipality_name": "五泉市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gosen-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 708.0,
      "target_votes": 413.0,
      "votes_delta": -295.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.666667,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.082684,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.86937,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.213314
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152226",
      "municipality_name": "上越市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Joetsu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3128.0,
      "target_votes": 1820.0,
      "votes_delta": -1308.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.815857,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.360983,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.080214,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.280769
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152021",
      "municipality_name": "長岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagaoka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4600.0,
      "target_votes": 2660.0,
      "votes_delta": -1940.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.173913,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.512603,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.188058,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.324545
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151033",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市中央区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Chuo-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 4175.0,
      "target_votes": 2337.0,
      "votes_delta": -1838.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.023952,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.838168,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.792916,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.045252
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
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      "jis_code": "151025",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市東区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashi-ku",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.218095,
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      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
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      "jis_code": "154822",
      "municipality_name": "津南町",
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.988375
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      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152170",
      "municipality_name": "妙高市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Myoko-shi",
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.391055
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      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153427",
      "municipality_name": "弥彦村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yahiko-mura",
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      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
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      "jis_code": "154059",
      "municipality_name": "出雲崎町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izumozaki-machi",
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.256952
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  ]
}
