{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "09",
    "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 25,
    "municipality_count": 25,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -28.082814,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -6.692411
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092088",
      "municipality_name": "小山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 17769.187,
      "target_votes": 16580.0,
      "votes_delta": -1189.187,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.692411,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.957074,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.634394,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.32268
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093840",
      "municipality_name": "塩谷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shioya-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1119.437,
      "target_votes": 1044.0,
      "votes_delta": -75.437,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.738834,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.68105,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.25685,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.4242
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093424",
      "municipality_name": "益子町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mashiko-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 2589.037,
      "target_votes": 2385.0,
      "votes_delta": -204.037,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.880807,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.375252,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.816416,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.558836
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092096",
      "municipality_name": "真岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Moka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7371.099,
      "target_votes": 6708.0,
      "votes_delta": -663.099,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.995931,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.179557,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.084433,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.095124
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093645",
      "municipality_name": "野木町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nogi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 3162.163,
      "target_votes": 2868.0,
      "votes_delta": -294.163,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.302588,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.22951,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.344645,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.884865
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092061",
      "municipality_name": "日光市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nikko-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8875.84,
      "target_votes": 8011.0,
      "votes_delta": -864.84,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.743754,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.93403,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.790574,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.143456
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093440",
      "municipality_name": "市貝町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ichikai-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1412.826,
      "target_votes": 1267.0,
      "votes_delta": -145.826,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.321582,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.722641,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.655713,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.066928
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093459",
      "municipality_name": "芳賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Haga-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1783.01,
      "target_votes": 1596.0,
      "votes_delta": -187.01,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.488444,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.176407,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.702474,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.473933
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092150",
      "municipality_name": "那須烏山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nasukarasuyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2913.681,
      "target_votes": 2587.0,
      "votes_delta": -326.681,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.211969,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.311008,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.163285,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.147723
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092118",
      "municipality_name": "矢板市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yaita-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3464.017,
      "target_votes": 3071.0,
      "votes_delta": -393.017,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.345701,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.42771,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.07611,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.3516
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "094072",
      "municipality_name": "那須町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nasu-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 2982.236,
      "target_votes": 2623.0,
      "votes_delta": -359.236,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.045861,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.37513,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.2234,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.15173
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092169",
      "municipality_name": "下野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimotsuke-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6330.275,
      "target_votes": 5448.0,
      "votes_delta": -882.275,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.937388,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.062792,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.515138,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.547654
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093610",
      "municipality_name": "壬生町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mibu-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 3696.114,
      "target_votes": 3177.0,
      "votes_delta": -519.114,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.044859,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.833033,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.172047,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.660986
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092100",
      "municipality_name": "大田原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ohtawara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6900.634,
      "target_votes": 5925.0,
      "votes_delta": -975.634,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.138324,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.886719,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.622705,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.264014
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092134",
      "municipality_name": "那須塩原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nasushiobara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 11855.214,
      "target_votes": 10113.0,
      "votes_delta": -1742.214,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.695762,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.686019,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.380246,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.305773
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "094110",
      "municipality_name": "那珂川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nakagawa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1754.363,
      "target_votes": 1476.0,
      "votes_delta": -278.363,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.866899,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.565157,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.788175,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.776982
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092142",
      "municipality_name": "さくら市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sakura-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4271.283,
      "target_votes": 3593.0,
      "votes_delta": -678.283,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.880076,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.740153,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.155515,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.584638
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093432",
      "municipality_name": "茂木町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Motegi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1515.731,
      "target_votes": 1273.0,
      "votes_delta": -242.731,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.014121,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.564699,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.394958,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.169741
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092053",
      "municipality_name": "鹿沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kanuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 10439.695,
      "target_votes": 8549.0,
      "votes_delta": -1890.695,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.110634,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.871568,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.688062,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.183506
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093017",
      "municipality_name": "上三川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kaminokawa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 3246.22,
      "target_votes": 2477.0,
      "votes_delta": -769.22,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.695868,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.607155,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.704081,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.903074
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092029",
      "municipality_name": "足利市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ashikaga-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 13491.096,
      "target_votes": 10293.0,
      "votes_delta": -3198.096,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.705235,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.990994,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.373468,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.617526
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092045",
      "municipality_name": "佐野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sano-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 11551.395,
      "target_votes": 8794.0,
      "votes_delta": -2757.395,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.870667,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.423619,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.836079,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.58754
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093866",
      "municipality_name": "高根沢町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takanezawa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 3176.032,
      "target_votes": 2394.0,
      "votes_delta": -782.032,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -24.622926,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.287944,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.516513,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.771431
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092037",
      "municipality_name": "栃木市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tochigi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 15757.321,
      "target_votes": 11531.0,
      "votes_delta": -4226.321,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.821317,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.864966,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.371119,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.493847
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092010",
      "municipality_name": "宇都宮市第2",
      "municipality_name_en": "Utsunomiya-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 51701.133,
      "target_votes": 37182.0,
      "votes_delta": -14519.133,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.082814,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.757083,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.671756,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.085327
    }
  ]
}
